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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436702060801001205528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+17Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
31Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
55Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.8
16.517.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
blue by 5.2
5293
#24DQ
24.82.0
23.821.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
4468
#21
15.10.5
12.813.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 8.8
4509
#15
24.03.3
25.121.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
832
#30
9.20.5
12.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
red by 5.7
6910
#34
3.53.3
9.25.9
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed