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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63962040801201401601802287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+67
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
2Foul points0
22Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.55.1
39.934.8
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
blue by 18.3
50.80.2
44.544.3
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Second
8815
#31
5.05.1
9.44.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
blue by 16.1
2415
#20
21.10.3
24.123.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
8577
#32
3.25.1
11.56.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 11.6
8865
#27
14.90.2
15.014.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned