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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284102060801003756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
30Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
37Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8100
#22
19.40.3
14.714.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 0.8
1414
#14
20.20.6
22.022.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Second
9086
#33
8.50.3
6.86.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 5.7
14.20.6
9.29.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Third
9561
#25
7.70.2
6.46.2
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 0.3
6887
#19
8.00.6
4.85.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned