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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53104015020036126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +45
5Coral scored#15
18Coral points55
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
26Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
7Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points6
36Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#20
21.12.3
24.422.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 50.9
72.02.4
72.174.5
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
Second
1414
#14
20.21.6
21.119.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 0.6
19.72.4
13.515.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
9086
#33
8.52.3
8.46.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 1.5
3091
#18
10.01.7
3.85.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned