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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377202060801001201406679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
55Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
66Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#24
24.81.4
22.624.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 6.6
31.40.7
26.427.1
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
9561
#25
7.71.4
6.68.1
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 16.3
4509
#15
24.01.1
21.722.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
8577
#32
3.22.3
6.48.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 16.2
8100
#22
19.41.0
12.213.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed