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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108250501001505424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
54Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.9
44.341.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 32.4
5074
#11
18.40.9
20.219.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Second
1261
#13
32.54.5
34.830.3
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 21.0
11.50.6
8.37.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
14.22.9
11.89.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 9.2
8815
#31
5.00.9
4.33.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed