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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6536020801001203421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
18Total teleop11
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
34Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.3
18.417.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 5.7
9522
#10
15.21.0
18.317.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
1414
#14
20.21.3
22.421.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 11.7
9086
#33
8.51.5
9.98.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Third
4468
#21
15.11.3
13.312.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 7.9
9057
#26
7.21.5
7.45.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed