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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52135010015020070180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+88
Endgame+110
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave3
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#24
43Coral points88
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
57Total teleop110
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#10
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
15Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points0
70Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#16
28.60.9
23.324.2
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
blue by 43.4
72.06.7
65.472.1
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
Second
5293
#24
24.80.9
21.822.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
blue by 26.2
51.04.3
38.142.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Third
9770
#29
9.80.9
8.59.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 5.5
8080
#28
15.46.7
9.015.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned