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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3724060801001829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
1Coral scored#4
5Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop16
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
18Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8100
#22
19.41.5
13.712.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 8.0
8872
#12
11.40.5
11.512.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Second
832
#30
9.20.9
12.711.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 0.8
3091
#18
10.00.5
3.33.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
6910
#34
3.51.5
5.94.4
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
blue by 4.1
9561
#25
7.70.5
6.16.6
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed