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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68683040506080901001108024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
8Coral scored#1
29Coral points4
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
53Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
12Foul points0
80Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
15.115.6
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 6.0
31.42.5
28.926.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
8736
#23
23.80.4
22.823.3
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 4.2
19.73.8
17.413.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
2415
#20
21.10.6
23.824.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 6.2
8865
#27
14.92.5
14.812.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed