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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1963040801001201403372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
20Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
33Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.50.8
7.58.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 20.4
31.81.0
30.231.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
Second
9770
#29
9.80.8
7.88.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 8.6
5074
#11
18.41.7
18.520.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Third
6887
#19
8.00.8
6.37.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
red by 0.8
9057
#26
7.21.7
5.67.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned