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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9545015011442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+74Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
80Total teleop27
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
114Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.03.4
62.065.4
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 52.6
8100
#22
19.40.8
14.513.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Second
14.22.0
9.811.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
blue by 1.2
8080
#28
15.40.8
9.89.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
9086
#33
8.53.4
6.59.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 6.7
9522
#10
15.20.5
18.718.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed