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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684302060801001201408621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
57Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
86Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.6
42.444.0
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
red by 27.2
8736
#23
23.81.5
23.321.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Second
4468
#21
15.11.6
12.013.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 5.9
832
#30
9.21.5
11.710.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Third
11.51.6
7.79.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
red by 8.2
8577
#32
3.22.2
8.76.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed