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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61840204010012014016071103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+42
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points10
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +36
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
44Total teleop80
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points2
71Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.0
31.232.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
blue by 19.0
50.81.9
41.543.4
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
Second
8080
#28
15.41.4
15.817.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 13.3
4189
#16
28.61.9
24.226.1
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
Third
9770
#29
9.81.0
9.410.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 1.9
6887
#19
8.01.9
7.08.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed