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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685502040801001201401606331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
40Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
63Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.3
27.126.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 10.3
2415
#20
21.11.9
22.120.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
5074
#11
18.40.3
16.516.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 3.2
9522
#10
15.21.4
18.316.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
8080
#28
15.40.3
17.216.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 3.9
8872
#12
11.41.4
11.710.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed