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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84400206010012014016010951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
59Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
18Foul points0
109Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.2
43.444.6
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 27.0
8736
#23
23.80.7
21.722.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Second
4509
#15
24.01.6
24.225.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 4.5
8100
#22
19.40.9
13.214.1
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Third
9057
#26
7.21.6
5.57.1
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3091
#18
10.00.7
5.56.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed