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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546902040801001201406177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+12
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points6
61Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.50.4
31.732.2
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
blue by 18.5
51.00.7
44.044.7
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
832
#30
9.20.3
10.210.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 0.7
9770
#29
9.80.7
10.411.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Third
9561
#25
7.70.3
8.18.4
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 0.8
9086
#33
8.50.9
6.17.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed