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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61790204010012014011179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
63Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
111Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#16
28.62.6
26.128.7
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
blue by 3.2
31.80.3
32.231.9
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
Second
20.82.6
16.819.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 4.0
5293
#24
24.80.3
24.123.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Third
14.22.6
11.313.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
blue by 0.9
4468
#21
15.10.3
11.911.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed