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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049404555606570807780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#13
40Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
64Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
77Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#23
23.81.3
22.423.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
blue by 7.6
31.41.5
26.828.3
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
8865
#27
14.91.3
10.011.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
red by 3.5
8872
#12
11.41.5
10.311.8
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Third
11.51.3
10.311.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
red by 3.5
6887
#19
8.01.5
7.38.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed