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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1235501001502007570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
44Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
75Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.02.9
72.369.4
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 39.6
1261
#13
32.50.5
32.232.7
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Second
4509
#15
24.02.9
25.822.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 3.7
1414
#14
20.20.4
19.119.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Third
8577
#32
3.22.9
7.04.1
Auto0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.0
blue by 6.8
3091
#18
10.00.4
6.26.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed