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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68602040801001206938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
10Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
4Coral scored#3
15Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
29Total teleop9
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
14Foul points0
69Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
31.931.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
red by 3.2
4189
#16
28.60.9
28.727.8
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
Second
9522
#10
15.20.1
16.916.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 0.2
8080
#28
15.41.1
16.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
9561
#25
7.70.1
8.48.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.2
End2.4
red by 2.6
8815
#31
5.01.1
5.64.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed