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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9254020408010012014016013980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+57Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +54
23Coral scored#12
84Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
116Total teleop62
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
2Foul points0
139Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.82.9
44.647.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 26.0
5293
#24
24.80.8
23.824.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
25.52.9
18.521.4
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 4.6
20.80.8
19.420.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Third
8100
#22
19.43.6
14.117.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 11.0
9086
#33
8.51.0
7.08.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed