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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274502060801001201955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
6Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
19Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9770
#29
9.80.6
11.110.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 11.3
2415
#20
21.11.3
20.321.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
832
#30
9.20.6
10.59.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 10.5
19.71.3
16.517.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
9057
#26
7.20.8
7.16.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End2.1
red by 3.7
6910
#34
3.51.3
2.94.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned