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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913150100150200137124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
22Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +35
21Coral scored#14
77Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
101Total teleop66
Reef
10L4#11
7L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
137Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.03.8
44.748.5
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
blue by 21.0
72.00.3
69.469.7
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
Second
31.43.8
28.332.2
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
blue by 1.1
1261
#13
32.50.3
32.733.0
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
Third
3091
#18
10.03.8
6.710.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 8.4
5074
#11
18.40.3
16.216.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned