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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7840020601001201401609046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
18Coral scored#6
63Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
77Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
2Foul points6
90Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.6
21.423.0
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 10.1
8080
#28
15.40.1
15.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
4509
#15
24.01.8
22.924.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
red by 12.5
11.50.1
11.611.6
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
1414
#14
20.21.6
19.521.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 8.8
8872
#12
11.40.1
11.811.9
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed