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Qual 662025 PCH District Gwinnett Event presented by Gwinnett County Public Schools
Red114
745131.8
183350.8
670520.8
Blue81
8329.2
168351.0
241521.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11282406010012014016018011481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
67Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
114Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1833
#2
50.81.0
47.5→48.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
blue by 0.2
1683
#4
51.00.1
48.5→48.6
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
7451
#5
31.81.0
31.8→32.7
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
red by 10.7
2415
#20
21.10.1
21.5→21.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
6705
#9
20.81.0
20.2→21.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 11.6
832
#30
9.20.1
9.9→10.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned