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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6261405070809010010488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
73Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
104Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.72.4
17.720.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
blue by 9.0
4189
#16
28.61.2
27.829.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
Second
8100
#22
19.42.4
17.720.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 4.3
4468
#21
15.11.2
11.612.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
Third
5074
#11
18.42.4
16.518.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 3.5
8865
#27
14.91.2
11.312.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed