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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153835010020015681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points13
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +41
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
90Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#6
10L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
156Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.5
70.370.8
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 21.0
51.00.1
48.448.3
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
50.80.5
49.149.6
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 25.3
25.50.1
22.822.8
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
4468
#21
15.10.5
13.413.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 0.2
8865
#27
14.90.1
12.212.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6