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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774902040601001201404137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
22Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
41Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.50.6
33.532.9
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 8.5
4509
#15
24.00.4
24.424.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Second
5074
#11
18.40.6
19.518.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 3.2
9522
#10
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
14.20.6
15.214.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 5.0
832
#30
9.20.4
9.69.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5