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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938970801001101201307965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
61Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
79Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.1
31.931.8
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 2.8
4189
#16
28.60.3
29.028.6
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
Second
5293
#24
24.80.1
25.325.2
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 1.0
8736
#23
23.80.3
24.223.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
Third
8100
#22
19.40.1
19.919.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
blue by 1.4
20.80.3
21.220.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8