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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7395501502008898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
39Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
14Foul points0
88Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#13
32.50.1
33.433.5
Auto7.9
Teleop22.1
End2.5
blue by 18.5
51.00.3
48.148.4
Auto10.8
Teleop32.3
End8.0
Second
5074
#11
18.40.1
19.319.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 7.1
25.50.3
22.522.8
Auto2.2
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
14.20.1
15.115.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End4.5
blue by 0.7
8865
#27
14.90.3
12.012.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End1.6