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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1556205010020016169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+48Auto
+74Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +48
6Leave6
10Coral scored#0
48Coral points0
54Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points37
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
77Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#3
8L3#4
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#13
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +92
6Foul points6
161Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
69.970.3
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 40.6
31.40.1
32.031.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
50.80.4
48.749.1
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 31.4
8100
#22
19.40.1
20.019.9
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Third
4468
#21
15.10.4
13.013.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 3.7
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.5