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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916002040801001201401606862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#6
32Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
50Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
68Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#16
28.60.2
29.129.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End0.6
red by 7.5
2415
#20
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Second
8736
#23
23.80.2
24.324.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End1.5
red by 4.2
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End4.7
Third
20.80.2
21.321.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.6
End2.8
red by 5.5
8080
#28
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.9