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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7596501502005686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+20
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points18
13Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
56Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.5
32.732.3
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End6.7
red by 0.4
31.40.1
32.232.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
1414
#14
20.20.5
21.120.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 4.6
5293
#24
24.80.1
25.425.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Third
8872
#12
11.40.5
11.911.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.7
End0.9
blue by 8.0
8100
#22
19.40.1
20.220.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.4
End1.5