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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1543705010020025014040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+80Teleop
+100Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
16Coral scored#4
58Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
76Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#3
7L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points0
140Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.2
69.769.9
Auto22.1
Teleop42.6
End7.3
red by 48.1
4509
#15
24.00.2
24.724.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Second
50.80.2
48.548.7
Auto10.4
Teleop32.4
End8.1
red by 35.6
9522
#10
15.20.2
15.915.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
4468
#21
15.10.2
12.813.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
red by 5.9
832
#30
9.20.2
10.09.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End1.5