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Red261
18089.8
1663.3
494689.7
Blue243
97177.9
978568.0
447683.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252234200300350261243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points51
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +16
33Coral scored#29
118Coral points106
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#7
24Processor points24
32Net points28
56Algae points52
174Total teleop158
Reef
12L4#15
17L3#15
6L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
55Game pieces#50
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points8
261Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.4
89.489.8
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 6.8
4476
#14
83.00.2
82.782.9
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
89.70.4
89.389.8
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 11.8
971
#17
77.90.2
77.677.8
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
16
#51
63.30.4
62.963.3
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
blue by 4.7
9785
#34
68.00.2
67.767.9
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0