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Red246
18089.8
1663.3
494689.7
Blue245
97177.9
978568.0
447683.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254234200300350246245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points37
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +1
37Coral scored#31
134Coral points113
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#6
12Processor points30
20Net points24
32Algae points54
166Total teleop167
Reef
20L4#16
15L3#9
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
54Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points12
246Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.1
89.889.8
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 6.8
4476
#14
83.00.1
82.983.0
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
89.70.1
89.889.7
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 11.8
971
#17
77.90.1
77.877.9
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
16
#51
63.30.1
63.363.3
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
blue by 4.7
9785
#34
68.00.1
67.968.0
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0