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Red155
901639.8
17673.6
386353.0
Blue168
948383.3
281361.5
534852.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17118550100150200250155168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points32
40Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#22
53Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
89Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#11
8L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points8
155Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#19
73.60.6
71.370.7
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
blue by 9.7
83.30.9
72.471.5
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
Second
3863
#37
53.00.6
54.453.8
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
blue by 8.5
2813
#20
61.50.9
54.153.1
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
Third
9016
#47
39.80.6
38.738.0
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
blue by 12.7
5348
#38
52.50.9
47.846.8
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned