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Red186
907736.9
5973.1
399068.5
Blue183
640126.2
969263.7
755878.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165157100120140180200220240186183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points81
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
18Processor points24
20Net points16
38Algae points40
133Total teleop121
Reef
11L4#13
11L3#10
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
186Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
73.10.8
66.567.3
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
blue by 5.5
7558
#10
78.60.9
74.875.7
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Second
3990
#29
68.50.8
62.463.2
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
red by 4.8
9692
#52
63.70.9
54.555.4
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
Third
9077
#67
36.90.8
24.325.1
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
red by 10.7
6401
#58
26.20.9
19.019.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned