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Red159
288351.0
350638.8
156160.5
Blue236
447683.0
914064.4
299257.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15822350100200250300159236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+83
Endgame+83
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points47
30Total auto53
TeleoperatedBlue +60
22Coral scored#29
79Coral points103
2Processor algae#6
4Net algae#7
12Processor points36
16Net points28
28Algae points64
107Total teleop167
Reef
12L4#13
7L3#10
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
34Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
6Foul points0
159Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#27
60.50.7
61.260.5
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
blue by 22.5
4476
#14
83.01.8
79.781.5
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
2883
#33
51.00.7
51.751.0
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
blue by 13.4
9140
#12
64.41.8
62.564.4
Auto12.2
Teleop44.0
End8.1
Third
3506
#54
38.80.7
39.538.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
blue by 18.2
2992
#22
57.01.8
55.257.0
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned