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Red160
643635.8
223084.9
438144.2
Blue212
534852.5
303559.5
5973.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186202100150250300160212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +49
22Coral scored#35
78Coral points127
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
102Total teleop151
Reef
14L4#13
8L3#11
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
160Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#28
84.90.5
86.085.6
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
red by 11.8
59
#5
73.11.8
71.273.0
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
Second
4381
#62
44.20.5
44.744.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
blue by 15.2
59.51.8
57.759.5
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
Third
6436
#69
35.80.5
36.235.8
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
blue by 16.7
5348
#38
52.51.8
50.752.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed70%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned