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Red123
345929.4
399068.5
857322.7
Blue230
253074.1
121875.1
17673.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12225250100150200300350123230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+91
Endgame+101
Fouls+107
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points41
19Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +63
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points91
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#9
6Processor points24
12Net points36
18Algae points60
88Total teleop151
Reef
9L4#15
6L3#5
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +107
0Foul points6
123Total score230

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#29
68.50.6
67.867.2
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
blue by 6.6
1218
#16
75.10.8
75.975.1
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
3459
#56
29.40.6
30.129.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
blue by 44.7
2530
#42
74.10.8
75.674.8
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
Third
8573
#71
22.70.6
23.422.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 50.9
176
#19
73.60.8
73.672.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned