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Red167
100239.0
776978.5
261452.2
Blue225
281361.5
494689.7
907736.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184202100150250300167225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+64
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +30
28Coral scored#30
101Coral points109
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
125Total teleop155
Reef
14L4#16
9L3#10
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points0
167Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#32
78.51.1
78.777.5
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
blue by 11.2
89.72.6
85.988.5
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
Second
2614
#35
52.21.1
53.152.0
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
blue by 9.3
2813
#20
61.52.6
60.062.7
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
Third
1002
#68
39.01.1
40.139.0
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
red by 2.1
9077
#67
36.92.6
34.336.9
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned