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Red192
1058966.8
23356.1
903729.5
Blue173
413524.8
969263.7
1663.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1731590100200300400500192173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points75
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
95Total teleop107
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#8
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
48Foul points0
192Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.5
67.366.8
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
red by 3.1
9692
#52
63.71.8
60.762.6
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
Second
233
#21
56.10.5
55.855.2
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
blue by 7.2
16
#51
63.31.8
60.562.4
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
Third
9037
#65
29.50.5
28.828.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
red by 4.7
4135
#75
24.81.8
24.226.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned