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Red159
357262.6
468046.4
900847.3
Blue168
1069029.3
386353.0
584771.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180172050100150200250300350159168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
18Processor points18
16Net points28
34Algae points46
99Total teleop123
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#35
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
159Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#70
62.60.5
63.262.6
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
blue by 9.3
71.90.4
70.871.2
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
Second
9008
#40
47.30.5
48.347.8
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
blue by 5.7
3863
#37
53.00.4
52.953.2
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
Third
4680
#49
46.40.5
46.746.2
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
red by 17.1
29.30.4
30.430.8
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned