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Red223
237064.5
753962.5
948383.3
Blue211
154066.8
83468.0
403971.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225218160180200240260280300223211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
10Coral scored#5
49Coral points24
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
30Coral scored#31
109Coral points113
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
18Processor points12
12Net points20
30Algae points32
139Total teleop145
Reef
12L4#12
12L3#11
10L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
223Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.31.0
82.383.4
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 11.8
4039
#57
71.50.6
69.570.1
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5
Second
2370
#30
64.51.0
63.964.9
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
blue by 3.5
834
#45
68.00.6
66.366.9
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
Third
7539
#24
62.51.0
61.462.4
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
blue by 4.3
1540
#66
66.80.6
66.667.1
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned