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Red228
770952.3
198662.0
452280.7
Blue179
1001125.3
150177.6
353661.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207179100150250300228179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
12Coral scored#8
62Coral points40
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +18
24Coral scored#20
87Coral points73
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
24Processor points24
24Net points20
48Algae points44
135Total teleop117
Reef
14L4#9
8L3#11
10L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
2Foul points6
228Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.7
79.481.2
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
red by 3.2
1501
#13
77.60.1
76.876.7
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
Second
1986
#26
62.01.7
58.560.2
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
red by 0.4
3536
#53
61.60.1
60.560.4
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
Third
7709
#59
52.31.7
51.152.8
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
red by 27.0
25.30.1
25.825.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned