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Red190
35354.3
70633.7
312873.5
Blue86
162565.8
3420.1
350638.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1721455010020025030019086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+86Teleop
+96Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points4
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +62
23Coral scored#9
81Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
119Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#4
12L3#4
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +104
8Foul points0
190Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3128
#18
73.52.1
68.570.6
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
red by 7.7
1625
#41
65.83.1
65.762.5
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
Second
353
#43
54.32.1
51.053.0
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
red by 15.5
3506
#54
38.83.1
42.639.5
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
Third
706
#55
33.72.1
31.433.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
red by 13.6
34
#74
20.13.1
24.421.3
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned