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Red105
640126.2
299257.0
870844.3
Blue166
657451.9
901639.8
978568.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14417350100200250105166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points22
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +50
12Coral scored#22
42Coral points80
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
68Total teleop118
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
105Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#22
57.01.6
56.855.2
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
blue by 11.0
9785
#34
68.00.6
67.468.0
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0
Second
8708
#61
44.31.6
46.444.8
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
blue by 7.5
6574
#23
51.90.6
51.652.2
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
Third
6401
#58
26.21.6
25.724.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 13.6
9016
#47
39.80.6
37.838.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned