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Red207
541169.8
698932.8
198662.0
Blue180
850345.6
403971.5
640126.2
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17614950100200250207180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+7Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave9
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
51Total auto42
TeleoperatedBlue +2
25Coral scored#22
90Coral points80
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#9
18Processor points6
12Net points36
30Algae points42
120Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#10
12L3#9
9L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
207Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#25
69.82.5
67.369.9
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
blue by 1.7
4039
#57
71.52.1
70.172.1
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5
Second
1986
#26
62.02.5
60.262.7
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
red by 16.4
8503
#60
45.62.1
43.545.6
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
Third
6989
#39
32.82.5
30.332.8
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
red by 6.6
6401
#58
26.22.1
24.126.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned